An open-label, Phase 3 trial of TAK-003, a live attenuated dengue tetravalent vaccine, in healthy US adults: immunogenicity and safety when administered during the second half of a 24-month shelf-life.

Dengue is caused by a mosquito-transmitted flavivirus. The disease is now endemic to many tropical and subtropical regions, manifesting as approximately 96 million symptomatic cases of dengue each year. Clinical trials have shown TAK-003 (Qdenga®), a live attenuated dengue tetravalent vaccine, to be well-tolerated, immunogenic, and efficacious in adults with no prior exposure to dengue virus infection living in non-endemic regions, as well as in adults and children living in dengue-endemic areas. This open-label, single-arm phase 3 trial (NCT03771963) was conducted in two dengue non-endemic areas of the USA, and it evaluated the immunogenicity and safety of naturally-aged TAK-003 administered to adult participants. Overall, the immunogenicity data from this trial are consistent with those reported from other TAK-003 phase 2 and 3 trials, and the safety data are consistent with the broader integrated safety data analysis. The data show that naturally-aged TAK-003 had a well-tolerated reactogenicity and adverse events profile when administered in the second half of its clinical 24-month shelf-life and that it still elicited an immune response that persisted up to 6 months after the second dose against all four dengue serotypes, with no important safety risks identified during the trial.

Bridging the immunogenicity of a tetravalent dengue vaccine (TAK-003) from children and adolescents to adults.

Immunobridging is an important methodology that can be used to extrapolate vaccine efficacy estimates to populations not evaluated in clinical studies, and that has been successfully used in developing many vaccines. Dengue, caused by a mosquito-transmitted flavivirus endemic to many tropical and subtropical regions, is traditionally thought of as a pediatric disease but is now a global threat to both children and adults. We bridged immunogenicity data from a phase 3 efficacy study of a tetravalent dengue vaccine (TAK-003), performed in children and adolescents living in endemic areas, with an immunogenicity study in adults in non-endemic areas. Neutralizing antibody responses were comparable in both studies following receipt of a two-dose TAK-003 schedule (months 0 and 3). Similar immune responses were observed across exploratory assessments of additional humoral responses. These data support the potential for clinical efficacy of TAK-003 in adults.

Risks of Heart Failure, Stroke, and Bleeding in Atrial Fibrillation According to Heart Failure Phenotypes.

BACKGROUND: The risks of heart failure (HF) events compared with stroke/systemic embolic events (SEE) or major bleeding (MB) in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) vs heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) in a large atrial fibrillation (AF) population have not been well-studied. OBJECTIVES: This study sought to assess HF outcomes, according to HF history and HF phenotypes (HFrEF vs HFpEF), and compare these events with SEE and MB, among patients with AF. METHODS: We analyzed patients enrolled in the ENGAGE-AF TIMI 48 (Effective Anticoagulation with Factor Xa Next Generation in AF-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 48) trial. Cumulative incidence of heart failure hospitalization (HHF) or HF death was assessed and compared with the rates of fatal and nonfatal stroke/SEE and MB over a median follow-up of 2.8 years. RESULTS: Overall, 12,124 (57.4%) had a history of HF (37.7% HFrEF, 40.1% HFpEF, 22.1% with unknown ejection fraction). The rate per 100 person-years (py) of HHF or HF death (4.95; 95% CI: 4.70-5.20) was higher than of fatal and nonfatal stroke/SEE (1.77; 95% CI: 1.63-1.92) and MB (2.66; 95% CI: 2.47-2.86) among patients with HF history. HFrEF patients experienced a higher rate of HHF or HF death compared with HFpEF patients (7.15 vs 3.65; P < 0.001), while the rates of fatal and nonfatal stroke/SEE and MB were similar by HF phenotype. Patients with HF history had a higher rate of mortality after a HHF (1.29; 95% CI: 1.17-1.42) than after a stroke/SEE (0.69; 95% CI: 0.60-0.78) or after MB (0.61; 95% CI: 0.53-0.70). Overall, patients with nonparoxysmal AF had a higher rate of HF and stroke/SEE events regardless of HF history. CONCLUSIONS: Patients with AF and HF, regardless of ejection fraction, are at a higher risk of HF events with higher subsequent mortality rates than of stroke/SEE or MB. While HFrEF is associated with a higher risk of HF events than HFpEF, the risk of stroke/SEE and MB is similar between HFrEF and HFpEF.

Persistence of Immunogenicity of a Purified Inactivated Zika Virus Vaccine Candidate in Healthy Adults: 2 Years of Follow-up Compared With Natural Infection.

BACKGROUND: We report 2-year persistence of immune response to Takeda's prophylactic purified formalin-inactivated whole Zika virus vaccine candidate (TAK-426) compared with that observed after natural infection. METHODS: A randomized, observer-blind, placebo-controlled, dose-selection, phase 1 trial was conducted in 18-49-year-old adults at 9 centers (7 in the United States, 2 in Puerto Rico) from 13 November 2017 to 24 November 2020. Primary objectives were safety, tolerability, and immunogenicity of 3 increasing doses of TAK-426 administered as 2 doses 28 days apart to flavivirus (FV)-naive and FV-primed adults. Here, we report on safety and persistence of immunity up to 2 years after primary vaccination with 10-µg TAK-426, the highest dose, and compare neutralizing antibody responses with those observed after natural infection. RESULTS: TAK-426 at 10-µg had an acceptable safety profile in FV-naive and FV-primed adults up to 24 months after dose 2. Seropositivity for neutralizing antibodies was 100% at 1 year, and 93.8% and 76.2% at 2 years in FV-naive and FV-primed groups, respectively. TAK-426 responses were comparable in magnitude and kinetics with those elicited by natural Zika virus infection. CONCLUSIONS: These results support the further clinical development of TAK-426 for both FV-naive and FV-primed populations. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT03343626.

Edoxaban versus Warfarin in high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation: A comprehensive analysis of high-risk subgroups.

BACKGROUND: To compare the efficacy and safety of edoxaban vs warfarin in high-risk subgroups. METHODS: ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 was a multicenter randomized, double-blind, controlled trial in 21,105 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) within 12 months and CHADS2 score >2 randomized to higher-dose edoxaban regimen (HDER) 60 mg/reduced 30 mg, lower-dose edoxaban regimen (LDER) 30 mg/reduced 15 mg, or warfarin, and followed for 2.8 years (median). The primary outcome for this analysis was the net clinical outcome (NCO), a composite of stroke/systemic embolism events, major bleeding, or death. Multivariable risk-stratification analysis was used to categorize patients by the number of high-risk features. RESULTS: The annualized NCO rates in the warfarin arm were highest in patients with malignancy (19.2%), increased fall risk (14.0%), and very-low body weight (13.5%). The NCO rates increased with the numbers of high-risk factors in the warfarin arm: 4.5%, 7.2%, 9.9% and 14.6% in patients with 0 to 1, 2, 3, and >4 risk factors, respectively (Ptrend <0.001). Versus warfarin, HDER was associated with significant reductions of NCO in most of the subgroups: elderly, patients with moderate renal dysfunction, prior stroke/TIA, of Asian race, very-low body weight, concomitant single antiplatelet therapy, and VKA-naïve. With more high-risk features (0->4+), the absolute risk reductions favoring edoxaban over warfarin increased: 0.3%->2.0% for HDER; 0.4%->3.4% for LDER vs warfarin (P = .065 and P < .001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: While underuse of anticoagulation in high-risk patients with AF remains common, substitution of effective and safer alternatives to warfarin, such as edoxaban, represents an opportunity to improve clinical outcomes.

Meta-analysis and machine learning-augmented mixed effects cohort analysis of improved diets among 5847 medical trainees, providers and patients.

OBJECTIVE: We sought to produce the first meta-analysis (of medical trainee competency improvement in nutrition counseling) informing the first cohort study of patient diet improvement through medical trainees and providers counseling patients on nutrition. DESIGN: (Part A) A systematic review and meta-analysis informing (Part B) the intervention analysed in the world's largest prospective multi-centre cohort study on hands-on cooking and nutrition education for medical trainees, providers and patients. SETTINGS: (A) Medical educational institutions. (B) Teaching kitchens. PARTICIPANTS: (A) Medical trainees. (B) Trainees, providers and patients. RESULTS: (A) Of the 212 citations identified (n 1698 trainees), eleven studies met inclusion criteria. The overall effect size was 9·80 (95 % CI (7·15, 12·45) and 95 % CI (6·87, 13·85); P < 0·001), comparable with the machine learning (ML)-augmented results. The number needed to treat for the top performing high-quality study was 12. (B) The hands-on cooking and nutrition education curriculum from the top performing study were applied for medical trainees and providers who subsequently taught patients in the same curriculum (n 5847). The intervention compared with standard medical care and education alone significantly increased the odds of superior diets (high/medium v. low Mediterranean diet adherence) for residents/fellows most (OR 10·79, 95 % CI (4·94, 23·58); P < 0·001) followed by students (OR 9·62, 95 % CI (5·92, 15·63); P < 0·001), providers (OR 5·19, 95 % CI (3·23, 8·32), P < 0·001) and patients (OR 2·48, 95 % CI (1·38, 4·45); P = 0·002), results consistent with those from ML. CONCLUSIONS: The current study suggests that medical trainees and providers can improve patients' diets with nutrition counseling in a manner that is clinically and cost effective and may simultaneously advance societal equity.

Clinical Application of a Novel Genetic Risk Score for Ischemic Stroke in Patients With Cardiometabolic Disease.

BACKGROUND: Genome-wide association studies have identified single-nucleotide polymorphisms that are associated with an increased risk of stroke. We sought to determine whether a genetic risk score (GRS) could identify subjects at higher risk for ischemic stroke after accounting for traditional clinical risk factors in 5 trials across the spectrum of cardiometabolic disease. METHODS: Subjects who had consented for genetic testing and who were of European ancestry from the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 (Effective Anticoagulation with Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation), SOLID-TIMI 52 (Stabilization of Plaques Using Darapladib), SAVOR-TIMI 53 (Saxagliptin Assessment of Vascular Outcomes Recorded in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus), PEGASUS-TIMI 54 (Prevention of Cardiovascular Events in Patients With Prior Heart Attack Using Ticagrelor Compared to Placebo on a Background of Aspirin), and FOURIER (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Research With PCSK9 Inhibition in Patients With Elevated Risk) trials were included in this analysis. A set of 32 single-nucleotide polymorphisms associated with ischemic stroke was used to calculate a GRS in each patient and identify tertiles of genetic risk. A Cox model was used to calculate hazard ratios for ischemic stroke across genetic risk groups, adjusted for clinical risk factors. RESULTS: In 51 288 subjects across the 5 trials, a total of 960 subjects had an ischemic stroke over a median follow-up period of 2.5 years. After adjusting for clinical risk factors, a higher GRS was strongly and independently associated with increased risk for ischemic stroke (P trend=0.009). In comparison with individuals in the lowest third of the GRS, individuals in the middle and top tertiles of the GRS had adjusted hazard ratios of 1.15 (95% CI, 0.98-1.36) and 1.24 (95% CI 1.05-1.45) for ischemic stroke, respectively. Stratification into subgroups revealed that the performance of the GRS appeared stronger in the primary prevention cohort with an adjusted hazard ratio for the top versus lowest tertile of 1.27 (95% CI, 1.04-1.53), in comparison with an adjusted hazard ratio of 1.06 (95% CI, 0.81-1.41) in subjects with previous stroke. In an exploratory analysis of patients with atrial fibrillation and CHA2DS2-VASc score of 2, high genetic risk conferred a 4-fold higher risk of stroke and an absolute risk equivalent to those with CHA2DS2-VASc score of 3. CONCLUSIONS: Across a broad spectrum of subjects with cardiometabolic disease, a 32-single-nucleotide polymorphism GRS was a strong, independent predictor of ischemic stroke. In patients with atrial fibrillation but lower CHA2DS2-VASc scores, the GRS identified patients with risk comparable to those with higher CHA2DS2-VASc scores.

Two Clinical Prediction Tools to Improve Tuberculosis Contact Investigation.

BACKGROUND: Efficient contact investigation strategies are needed for the early diagnosis of tuberculosis (TB) disease and treatment of latent TB infections. METHODS: Between September 2009 and August 2012, we conducted a prospective cohort study in Lima, Peru, in which we enrolled and followed 14 044 household contacts of adults with pulmonary TB. We used information from a subset of this cohort to derive 2 clinical prediction tools that identify contacts of TB patients at elevated risk of progressing to active disease by training multivariable models that predict (1) coprevalent TB among all household contacts and (2) 1-year incident TB among adult contacts. We validated the models in a geographically distinct subcohort and compared the relative utilities of clinical decisions based on these tools to existing strategies. RESULTS: In our cohort, 296 (2.1%) household contacts had coprevalent TB and 145 (1.9%) adult contacts developed incident TB within 1 year of index patient diagnosis. We predicted coprevalent disease using information that could be readily obtained at the time an index patient was diagnosed and predicted 1-year incident TB by including additional contact-specific characteristics. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves for coprevalent TB and incident TB were 0.86 (95% confidence interval [CI], .83-.89]) and 0.72 (95% CI, .67-.77), respectively. These clinical tools give 5%-10% higher relative utilities than existing methods. CONCLUSIONS: We present 2 tools that identify household contacts at high risk for TB disease based on reportable information from patient and contacts alone. The performance of these tools is comparable to biomarkers that are both more costly and less feasible than this approach.

Predicting Benefit From Evolocumab Therapy in Patients With Atherosclerotic Disease Using a Genetic Risk Score: Results From the FOURIER Trial.

BACKGROUND: The ability of a genetic risk score to predict risk in established cardiovascular disease and identify individuals who derive greater benefit from PCSK9 (proprotein convertase subtilisin/kexin type 9) inhibition has not been established. METHODS: We studied 14 298 patients with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease from the FOURIER trial (Further Cardiovascular Outcomes Researh With PCSK9 Inhibition in Subjects With Elevated Risk). A 27-single-nucleotide polymorphism genetic risk score defined low (quintile 1), intermediate (quintiles 2-4), and high (quintile 5) genetic risk. Patients were also categorized by major atherosclerotic risk factors including diabetes mellitus, hypertension, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol ≥100 mg/dl, and smoking; multiple (≥2) risk factors was considered high clinical risk. Outcomes consisted of major coronary events (coronary heart death, myocardial infarction, or coronary revascularization) and major vascular events (major coronary events and ischemic stroke). Median follow-up was 2.3 years. RESULTS: After we adjusted for clinical factors, the genetic risk score was associated with risk for both major vascular events (Ptrend=0.005) and major coronary events (Ptrend<0.0001). Individuals with intermediate and high genetic risk scores had 1.23- and 1.65-fold increased hazard for major coronary events, respectively. Elevated genetic risk was additive to major atherosclerotic risk factors and identified patients more likely to benefit from evolocumab. There was no benefit for major vascular events in patients without multiple clinical risk factors or high genetic risk (hazard ratio [HR], 1.02; absolute risk reduction [ARR], -0.2%, P=0.86). In contrast, there was a 13% relative risk reduction (HR, 0.87 [0.75-0.998], P=0.047) and a 1.4% ARR in patients with multiple clinical risk factors but without high genetic risk and a 31% relative risk reduction (HR, 0.69 [0.55-0.86], P=0.0012), and 4.0% ARR in patients with high genetic risk, irrespective of clinical risk (Ptrend for HR=0.017, ARR Ptrend=0.004). Patients with high genetic risk who received evolocumab had event rates similar to patients with a low burden of both genetic and clinical risk. CONCLUSION: Patients without multiple clinical risk factors or high genetic risk had a low event rate and did not appear to derive benefit from evolocumab over 2.3 years. Conversely, patients with multiple clinical risk factors but without high genetic risk had intermediate risk and intermediate risk reduction. Patients with high genetic risk, regardless of clinical risk, had a high event rate and derived the greatest relative and absolute benefit from evolocumab, which mitigated this risk.

Efficacy and safety of edoxaban compared with warfarin according to the burden of diseases in patients with atrial fibrillation: insights from the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial.

AIMS: Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants represent a new option for prevention of embolic events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, little is known about the impact of non-cardiac comorbidities on the efficacy and safety profile of these drugs. METHODS AND RESULTS: In a post hoc analysis of the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial, we analysed 21 105 patients with AF followed for an average of 2.8 years and randomized to either a higher-dose edoxaban regimen (HDER), a lower-dose edoxaban regimen, or warfarin. We used the updated Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) to stratify the patients according to the burden of concomitant disease (CCI = 0, 1, 2, 3, and ≥4). The treatment groups were then compared for safety, efficacy, and net clinical outcomes across CCI categories. There were 32.0%, 7.3%, 42.1%, 12.7%, and 6.0% of patients with CCI scores of 0, 1, 2, 3, and ≥4, respectively. A CCI score ≥4 was associated with significantly higher rates of thromboembolic events, bleeding, and death compared to CCI = 0 (P < 0.05 for each). The annualized rates of the primary net clinical outcome (stroke/systemic embolism, major bleeding, or death) for CCI = 0, 1, 2, 3, or ≥4 were 5.9%, 8.7%, 6.6%, 10.3%, and 13.6% (Ptrend < 0.001). There were no significant interactions between treatment with HDER vs. warfarin and efficacy, safety, and net outcomes across the CCI groups (P-interaction > 0.10 for each). CONCLUSION: Although increasing CCI scores are associated with worse outcomes, the efficacy, safety, and net clinical outcomes of edoxaban vs. warfarin were independent of the degree of comorbidity present.

Comparison of Events Across Bleeding Scales in the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 Trial.

BACKGROUND: Numerous scales exist for the classification of major bleeding events. Limited data compare the most commonly used bleeding scales within a single at-risk cohort of patients with atrial fibrillation. Here, we analyze bleeding outcomes according to the ISTH (International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis), TIMI (Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction), GUSTO (Global Usage of Strategies to Open Occluded Arteries), and BARC (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium) bleeding scales in the ENGAGE AF (Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation)-TIMI 48 trial (NCT00781391) of edoxaban versus warfarin. METHODS: A total of 21 105 patients with atrial fibrillation at risk for stroke (CHADS2 score ≥2) were enrolled in the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial comparing warfarin with a higher- (60/30 mg daily) or lower- (30/15 mg daily) dose edoxaban regimen. Median follow-up was 2.8 years. Bleeding events occurring among on-treatment patients were examined. Annualized event rates were calculated by the ISTH, TIMI, GUSTO, and BARC scales and compared across treatment arms. Cox proportional hazards for a first bleeding event of each type were calculated for higher-dose edoxaban regimen vs warfarin and lower-dose edoxaban regimen versus warfarin. RESULTS: A total of 10 311 bleeding events were reported. In a comparison of the most severe events in each scale, ISTH major bleeding was the most common (n=1289), followed by TIMI major (n=548), GUSTO severe/life-threatening (n=347), and BARC 3c+5 (n=276) bleeding. Lower bleeding risk with edoxaban compared with warfarin was seen regardless of bleeding scale (higher-dose edoxaban regimen range: hazard ratio [HR], 0.47 [95% CI, 0.35-0.62] for BARC 3c+5 versus HR, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.71-0.91] for ISTH major; lower-dose edoxaban regimen range: HR, 0.32 [95% CI, 0.23-0.45] for BARC 3c+5 versus HR, 0.47 [95% CI, 0.41-0.55] for ISTH major). Furthermore, a gradient of more pronounced risk reduction with edoxaban was observed with greater severity of first bleeding event (higher-dose edoxaban regimen: HR, 0.47 [95% CI, 0.35-0.62] for BARC 3c+5 bleeds versus HR, 0.86 [95% CI, 0.81-0.91] for any BARC bleed; lower-dose edoxaban regimen: HR, 0.32 [95% CI, 0.23-0.45] for BARC 3c+5 bleeds versus HR, 0.68 [95% CI, 0.63-0.72] for any BARC bleed). The direction of this trend was consistent for both gastrointestinal bleeding and nongastrointestinal bleeding. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with atrial fibrillation at risk for stroke, there was a >4-fold difference in the frequency of the most severe bleeding events across commonly used bleeding scales. Furthermore, the relative safety of edoxaban compared with warfarin tended to increase with greater severity of bleeding. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00781391.

Edoxaban Versus Warfarin in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and History of Liver Disease.

BACKGROUND: Patients with liver disease have increased risk of thrombosis and bleeding but are typically excluded from trials of direct oral anticoagulant agents. OBJECTIVES: This study evaluated the pharmacokinetics (PK), pharmacodynamics (PD), clinical efficacy and safety of edoxaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and history of liver disease. METHODS: ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 (Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction Study 48) was a randomized, double-blind trial comparing edoxaban with warfarin in patients with AF followed for 2.8 years. History of liver disease was defined as investigator-reported liver disease or >2-fold transaminase elevation at randomization. The primary efficacy and safety endpoints of stroke or systemic embolic event (SSEE) and major bleeding were assessed stratified by history of liver disease. PK/PD assessments of edoxaban included endogenous and extrinsic factor Xa activity and edoxaban concentration. RESULTS: Among 21,105 patients, 1,083 (5.1%) had a history of liver disease; they had a higher prevalence of many comorbidities. The adjusted risks of SSEE were similar (adjusted hazard ratio [HRadj]: 0.90; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.67 to 1.22; p = 0.50), but major bleeding was more common in patients with liver disease (HRadj: 1.38; 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.74; p = 0.005). There were no significant differences in PK/PD assessment of edoxaban in patients with versus without liver disease. The HRs for higher-dose edoxaban versus warfarin for SSEE were 0.86 (95% CI: 0.73 to 1.01) in patients without and 1.11 (95% CI: 0.54 to 2.30) with liver disease (p for interaction [pint] = 0.47), major bleeding 0.80 (95% CI: 0.70 to 0.91) in patients without and 0.91 (95% CI: 0.56 to 1.47) with liver disease (pint = 0.63). There were no significant differences in hepatic adverse events between the 2 treatment groups. CONCLUSIONS: Among patients with AF receiving oral anticoagulation, bleeding, but not thromboembolic events, was increased in patients with liver disease. A history of liver disease did not alter the relative efficacy and safety of edoxaban compared with warfarin. Hepatic adverse events were similar between edoxaban and warfarin.

Association of the coronary artery disease risk gene GUCY1A3 with ischaemic events after coronary intervention.

AIM: A common genetic variant at the GUCY1A3 coronary artery disease locus has been shown to influence platelet aggregation. The risk of ischaemic events including stent thrombosis varies with the efficacy of aspirin to inhibit platelet reactivity. This study sought to investigate whether homozygous GUCY1A3 (rs7692387) risk allele carriers display higher on-aspirin platelet reactivity and risk of ischaemic events early after coronary intervention. METHODS AND RESULTS: The association of GUCY1A3 genotype and on-aspirin platelet reactivity was analysed in the genetics substudy of the ISAR-ASPI registry (n = 1678) using impedance aggregometry. The clinical outcome cardiovascular death or stent thrombosis within 30 days after stenting was investigated in a meta-analysis of substudies of the ISAR-ASPI registry, the PLATO trial (n = 3236), and the Utrecht Coronary Biobank (n = 1003) comprising a total 5917 patients. Homozygous GUCY1A3 risk allele carriers (GG) displayed increased on-aspirin platelet reactivity compared with non-risk allele (AA/AG) carriers [150 (interquartile range 91-209) vs. 134 (85-194) AU⋅min, P < 0.01]. More homozygous risk allele carriers, compared with non-risk allele carriers, were assigned to the high-risk group for ischaemic events (>203 AU⋅min; 29.5 vs. 24.2%, P = 0.02). Homozygous risk allele carriers were also at higher risk for cardiovascular death or stent thrombosis (hazard ratio 1.70, 95% confidence interval 1.08-2.68; P = 0.02). Bleeding risk was not altered. CONCLUSION: We conclude that homozygous GUCY1A3 risk allele carriers are at increased risk of cardiovascular death or stent thrombosis within 30 days after coronary stenting, likely due to higher on-aspirin platelet reactivity. Whether GUCY1A3 genotype helps to tailor antiplatelet treatment remains to be investigated.

Performance of the ABC Scores for Assessing the Risk of Stroke or Systemic Embolism and Bleeding in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation in ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48.

BACKGROUND: The ABC (age, biomarker, clinical history)-stroke and ABC-bleeding risk scores incorporate clinical variables and cardiovascular biomarkers to estimate risk of stroke or systemic embolic events and bleeding, respectively, in patients with atrial fibrillation. These scores have been proposed for routine clinical use, but their performance in external cohorts remains uncertain. METHODS: ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 (Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis in Myocardial Infarction 48) was a multinational randomized trial of the oral factor Xa inhibitor edoxaban in patients with atrial fibrillation and a CHADS2 score ≥2. We performed a nested prospective biomarker study in 8705 patients, analyzing baseline high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), NT-proBNP (N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide), and growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), as well as in serial samples after 12 months. The ABC-stroke (age, prior stroke/transient ischemic attack, hsTnT, NT-proBNP) and ABC-bleeding (age, prior bleeding, hemoglobin, hsTnT, and GDF-15) scores were tested. Hazard ratios were adjusted for estimated glomerular filtration rate and the components of the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, respectively. Discrimination and reclassification were compared with these established scores. RESULTS: Median baseline hsTnT, NT-proBNP, and GDF-15 levels were 13.7 ng/L (25th-75th percentiles, 9.6-20.4 ng/L), 811 pg/mL (386-1436 pg/mL), and 1661 pg/mL (1179-2427 pg/mL), respectively. Elevated hsTnT, NT-proBNP, and GDF-15 were independently associated with higher rates of stroke or systemic embolic events, and elevated hsTnT and GDF-15 were independently associated with higher rates of major bleeding ( P<0.001 for each). The ABC-stroke and ABC-bleeding scores were well calibrated and yielded higher c indexes than the CHA2DS2-VASc score for stroke or systemic embolic events (0.67 [95% CI, 0.65-0.70] versus 0.59 [95% CI, 0.57-0.62]; P<0.001) and HAS-BLED score for major bleeding (0.69 [95% CI, 0.66-0.71] versus 0.62 [95% CI, 0.60-0.64]; P<0.001), respectively. The ABC-stroke and ABC-bleeding scores stratified patients within CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED risk categories ( P<0.001 for both). Patients with ABC-bleeding scores predicting a high 1-year risk of bleeding (>2%) derived greater benefit from treatment with edoxaban compared with warfarin. CONCLUSIONS: The ABC-stroke and ABC-bleeding scores evaluated in this anticoagulated clinical trial cohort were well calibrated and outperformed the CHA2DS2-VASc and HAS-BLED scores, respectively. These scores may help identify patients most likely to derive a benefit from treatment with non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov . Unique identifier: NCT00781391.

Edoxaban in atrial fibrillation patients with established coronary artery disease: Insights from ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48.

BACKGROUND:: The relative efficacy and safety profile of the oral Factor Xa inhibitor edoxaban compared with warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation and established coronary artery disease (CAD) has not been analyzed. MATERIALS AND METHODS:: In the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial, two edoxaban regimens were compared with warfarin in 21,105 patients with atrial fibrillation and CHADS2 ⩾2. We analyzed the primary trial endpoints (efficacy: stroke or systemic embolic event, safety: International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis major bleeding) in patients with versus without CAD, and used interaction testing to assess for treatment effect modification. RESULTS:: The 4510 patients (21.4%) with known CAD were older, more likely male, on aspirin, with lower creatinine clearance and higher CHADS2 and HAS-BLED scores ( p <0.001 for each). Treatment with the higher-dose edoxaban regimen (versus warfarin) in patients with known CAD tended to have a greater reduction in stroke/systemic embolic event compared with patients without CAD (CAD: hazard ratio 0.65 (0.46-0.92) versus no CAD: hazard ratio 0.94 (0.79-1.12), p-INT 0.062) and also in myocardial infarction (CAD: hazard ratio 0.69 (0.49-0.98) versus no CAD: hazard ratio 1.24 (0.89-1.72), p-INT 0.017), while there was a similar reduction in bleeding irrespective of CAD status (hazard ratio 0.81 and 0.80, p-INT 0.97). Presence or absence of CAD did not modify the efficacy or safety profile of the lower-dose edoxaban regimen (versus warfarin). CONCLUSION:: The reduction in ischemic events with the higher-dose edoxaban regimen versus warfarin was greater in patients with CAD, while bleeding was significantly reduced with edoxaban regardless of CAD status. The efficacy and safety profile of the lower-dose edoxaban regimen relative to warfarin was unaffected by CAD status.

Outdoor particulate matter (PM10) exposure and lung cancer risk in the EAGLE study.

OBJECTIVE: Cohort studies in Europe, but not in North-America, showed an association between exposure to outdoor particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter ≤10 µm (PM10) and lung cancer risk. Only a case-control study on lung cancer and PM10 in South Korea has so far been performed. For the first time in Europe we analyzed quantitatively this association using a case-control study design in highly polluted areas in Italy. METHODS: The Environment And Genetics in Lung cancer Etiology (EAGLE) study, a population-based case-control study performed in the period 2002-2005 in the Lombardy Region, north-west Italy, enrolled 2099 cases and 2120 controls frequency-matched for area of residence, gender, and age. For this study we selected subjects with complete active and passive smoking history living in the same municipality since 1980 until study enrollment. Fine resolution annual PM10 estimates obtained by applying land use regression modeling to satellite data calibrated with fixed site monitor measurements were used. We assigned each subject the PM10 average estimates for year 2000 based on enrollment address. We used logistic regression models to calculate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) adjusted for matching variables, education, smoking, and dietary and occupational variables. RESULTS: We included 3473 subjects, 1665 cases (1318 men, 347 women) and 1808 controls (1368 men, 440 women), with PM10 individual levels ranging from 2.3 to 53.8 µg/m3 (mean: 46.3). We found increasing lung cancer risk with increasing PM10 category (P-value for trend: 0.04). The OR per 10 µg/m3 was 1.28 (95% CI: 0.95-1.72). The association appeared stronger for squamous cell carcinoma (OR 1.44, 95% CI: 0.90-2.29). CONCLUSION: In a population living in highly polluted areas in Italy, our study added suggestive evidence of a positive association between PM10 exposure and lung cancer risk. This study emphasizes the need to strengthen policies to reduce airborne pollution.

Nitric Oxide Decreases Acute Kidney Injury and Stage 3 Chronic Kidney Disease after Cardiac Surgery.

RATIONALE: No medical intervention has been identified that decreases acute kidney injury and improves renal outcome at 1 year after cardiac surgery. OBJECTIVES: To determine whether administration of nitric oxide reduces the incidence of postoperative acute kidney injury and improves long-term kidney outcomes after multiple cardiac valve replacement requiring prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass. METHODS: Two hundred and forty-four patients undergoing elective, multiple valve replacement surgery, mostly due to rheumatic fever, were randomized to receive either nitric oxide (treatment) or nitrogen (control). Nitric oxide and nitrogen were administered via the gas exchanger during cardiopulmonary bypass and by inhalation for 24 hours postoperatively. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS: The primary outcome was as follows: oxidation of ferrous plasma oxyhemoglobin to ferric methemoglobin was associated with reduced postoperative acute kidney injury from 64% (control group) to 50% (nitric oxide group) (relative risk [RR], 0.78; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.62-0.97; P = 0.014). Secondary outcomes were as follows: at 90 days, transition to stage 3 chronic kidney disease was reduced from 33% in the control group to 21% in the treatment group (RR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.41-0.99; P = 0.024) and at 1 year, from 31% to 18% (RR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.36-0.96; P = 0.017). Nitric oxide treatment reduced the overall major adverse kidney events at 30 days (RR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.18-0.92; P = 0.016), 90 days (RR, 0.40; 95% CI, 0.17-0.92; P = 0.015), and 1 year (RR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.20-1.10; P = 0.041). CONCLUSIONS: In patients undergoing multiple valve replacement and prolonged cardiopulmonary bypass, administration of nitric oxide decreased the incidence of acute kidney injury, transition to stage 3 chronic kidney disease, and major adverse kidney events at 30 days, 90 days, and 1 year. Clinical trial registered with ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT01802619).

Gastrointestinal Bleeding With Edoxaban Versus Warfarin: Results From the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 Trial (Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction).

BACKGROUND: The ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial (Effective Anticoagulation With Factor Xa Next Generation in Atrial Fibrillation-Thrombolysis In Myocardial Infarction) compared higher-dose edoxaban regimen (HD-ER) and lower-dose edoxaban regimen with well-managed warfarin in 21 105 patients with atrial fibrillation. The risk factors and clinical impact of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB) in this trial have not been described in detail. METHODS AND RESULTS: This analysis was undertaken to identify risk factors for major GIB (MGIB) and compare the severity and outcomes of GIB with edoxaban and warfarin. During 2.8 years mean follow-up, there were 579 MGIB (1.22% per year), of which 63 were life-threatening or fatal (0.13% per year). Male sex, increased age, prior GIB, concomitant aspirin, lower baseline hemoglobin, renal dysfunction, and higher HAS-BLED and CHADS2 scores were independently associated with the risk of MGIB. Whereas the annual rate of MGIB was higher with HD-ER than with warfarin (1.53% and 1.25%, respectively; hazard ratio, 1.23; 95% confidence interval, 1.02-1.48; P=0.033), the annual rates of life-threatening or fatal GIB were similar (0.15% and 0.18%, respectively). Several indicators of more severe GIB, including hemodynamic instability, hospitalization, ≥ 4 U transfusion, and hemoglobin loss ≥5 g/dL, were similar with HD-ER and warfarin, whereas surgery required to manage bleeding was less frequent with HD-ER. Lower-dose edoxaban regimen, which achieved 50% lower trough edoxaban levels, was associated with significantly less MGIB than warfarin. CONCLUSIONS: MGIB occurred more frequently with HD-ER than warfarin. The rates of life-threatening or fatal GIB were low and similar with both HD-ER and warfarin. Clinical outcomes were generally favorable. The correlation between dose, trough edoxaban level, and the risk of GIB risk suggests GIB is exposure-related. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION: URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00781391.

Clinical events after interruption of anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation: An analysis from the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial.

BACKGROUND: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who interrupt anticoagulation are at high risk of thromboembolism and death. METHODS AND RESULTS: Patients enrolled in the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial (randomized comparison of edoxaban vs. warfarin) who interrupted study anticoagulant for >3 days were identified. Clinical events (ischemic stroke/systemic embolism, major cardiac and cerebrovascular events [MACCE]) were analyzed from day 4 after interruption until day 34 or study drug resumption. During 2.8 years median follow-up, 13,311 (63%) patients interrupted study drug for >3 days. After excluding those who received open-label anticoagulation during the at-risk window, the population for analysis included 9148 patients. The rates of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism and MACCE post interruption were substantially greater than in patients who never interrupted (15.42 vs. 0.26 and 60.82 vs. 0.36 per 100 patient-years, respectively, padj < .001). Patients who interrupted study drug for an adverse event (44.1% of the cohort), compared to those who interrupted for other reasons, had an increased risk of MACCE (HRadj 2.75; 95% CI 2.02-3.74, p < .0001), but similar rates of ischemic stroke/systemic embolism. Rates of clinical events after interruption of warfarin and edoxaban were similar. CONCLUSION: Interruption of study drug was frequent in patients with AF and was associated with a substantial risk of major cardiac and cerebrovascular events over the ensuing 30 days. This risk was particularly high in patients who interrupted as a result of an adverse event; these patients deserve close monitoring and resumption of anticoagulation as soon as it is safe to do so.